Troy R. Bennett | BDN
By Alex Acquisto and Michael Shepherd, BDN Employees •
October 16, 2018 9:00 am
Up to date: October 16, 2018 9:32 am
Good morning from Augusta. Maine’s congressional candidates gave the public one in every of the ultimate appears at their fundraising books on Monday, with the Democratic challenger in Maine’s 2nd District driving a wave of particular person donations to his first cash lead of the race thus far.
Issues are tightening in that race between U.S. Rep. Bruce Poliquin and Assistant Maine Home Majority Chief Jared Golden, whereas little modified in the state’s different congressional races, the place unbiased Sen. Angus King and Democratic Rep. Chellie Pingree are favored to win.
Greater than 88 % of Golden’s cash got here from people, whereas Poliquin has gotten greater than half of his cash from political committees. Golden, a Democrat from Lewiston, accrued greater than $three.9 million throughout his marketing campaign, elevating $2.7 million of that alone between July and September’s finish as his problem towards Poliquin, a two-term Republican, has gained in nationwide prominence.
He has now barely out-raised Poliquin in the race after trailing him all alongside, and the two candidates have now raised extra for the 2018 marketing campaign than the report haul two years in the past from Poliquin and two-time Democratic challenger Emily Cain.
Greater than 88 % of Golden’s haul has come from people. Whereas Cain relied closely on particular person donors throughout her final race towards Poliquin, Golden is outpacing her with them and relying much less closely on political committees.
For instance, $1.9 million alone has come in to Golden via ActBlue, a web-based platform that works as a conduit to shuffle cash from small-dollar donors to sure candidates. He has gotten greater than $111,00zero from the Serve America Victory Fund, which is run by U.S. Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Massachusetts, a fellow Marine veteran who helped recruit Golden to run.
Poliquin has been barely extra reliant on political committees in 2018 than he was throughout his final race. Greater than 55 % of his $three.eight million haul has come from them. Most donors throughout this final interval included the accounting big Deloitte, the Nationwide Affiliation of Realtors and the Nationwide Vehicle Sellers Affiliation.
Nothing occurred in the cash race to vary the hierarchy in the different races. King, who caucuses with Democrats, has raised six occasions greater than his challengers, state Sen. Eric Brakey, R-Auburn, and Democrat Zak Ringelstein of Yarmouth, and had greater than 20 occasions the cash left in his marketing campaign fund than that they had mixed as of September’s finish.
King has gotten roughly three-quarters of his $5.three million for 2018 from people, whereas almost all of Brakey’s $708,00zero has come from people. Ringelstein has raised $127,00zero for his marketing campaign, however he has additionally agreed to pay again $197,00zero in different marketing campaign debt.
Pingree, a Democrat from Maine’s 1st District, isn’t breaking a lot of a sweat in fundraising this yr, elevating $671,00zero in her marketing campaign towards unbiased state Rep. Marty Grohman and Republican Mark Holbrook, with 37 % of that coming from committees. Grohman has raised $328,00zero, although $200,00zero of that was private cash. Holbrook has raised $86,00zero.
There are indicators that the 2nd District race is tightening. The toss-up race could also be getting tighter. Two of the three fashions utilized by FiveThirtyEight to undertaking Home races now favor Golden over Poliquin, although solely barely. They’re based mostly on polling, fundraising, incumbency, district partisanship and different elements.
The New York Occasions and Siena School additionally started polling the district for the second time on Monday night time. Poliquin had a lead once they final examined the race in September.
Debating how typically to debate
It occurs each election cycle. Challengers complain that incumbents gained’t debate them. However, besides in uncommon circumstances when incumbents turn out to be unusually weak, they solely should debate typically sufficient to point out voters that they aren’t afraid of their challengers. That often interprets to not more than two or 3 times.
Brakey, who trailed King badly in the solely public ballot on this yr’s U.S. Senate race, is probably the candidate complaining the loudest this election cycle. On Monday at an impromptu information convention in Bangor, Brakey criticized King’s determination to solely debate at the tail finish of the marketing campaign. King has scheduled 5 debates between Oct. 22 and Nov. 1, his spokesman Jack Faherty stated.
In contests for open seats — reminiscent of this yr’s governor’s race — extra debates means extra entry to voters, which is why the 4 Blaine Home candidates are roaming the state for no less than 10 debates. 4 years in the past, incumbent Republican Gov. Paul LePage agreed to debate 5 occasions.
Incumbents, by definition, have entry to voters via constituent providers and different perks of holding public workplace. For incumbents, extra debates imply extra alternatives for challengers to chip away at the benefit incumbency provides them. So they have a tendency to restrict these possibilities.
Poliquin, the incumbent Republican in Maine’s 2nd District, has solely agreed to 2 debates this election cycle. In the race he gained for an open seat in 2014, Poliquin debated Cain and unbiased Blaine Richardson 4 occasions. Two years later, with incumbent Poliquin dealing with Cain once more, the pair debated 3 times. Poliquin isn’t scheduled to debate Golden or his two unbiased challengers after tonight.
An identical restricted debate schedule occurred in 2014 for U.S. Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and Democratic challenger Shenna Bellows, whom she debated 3 times.
In essence, Brakey is barking at King techniques which are extra inclusive than these which were and are being employed by his personal get together’s two members of Maine’s four-person congressional delegation.
— An allegedly poisoned letter arrived Monday at the Bangor house of Maine’s senior senator. Police and unsafe supplies groups swarmed the residence of Collins and her husband, Tom Daffron, on Monday after Daffron reported receiving a suspicious letter. The letter author claimed that it had been contaminated with ricin, a probably deadly poison extracted from seeds of the castor oil plant. Police closed the street the place Collins lives for a number of hours. Daffron, a household canine and elements of the home have been quarantined for a number of hours as a criminal offense lab inspected the premises. Collins and Daffron have been capable of keep in their residence Monday night time. The U.S. Capitol Police will proceed the investigation.
— As they put together for his or her second and remaining debate, the place do the major-party candidates in Maine’s 2nd District stand on key points? Poliquin and Golden have spent plenty of time emphasizing the destructive about their opponent to voters. The BDN appeared previous the claims and branding to look at their r ecords on three key points.
— The lady who engineered a serious downsizing of Maine’s social providers system now oversees Medicaid nationally. Mary Mayhew, commissioner of the Maine Division of Well being and Human Providers for greater than six years, began Monday as director of Medicaid and the Youngsters’s Well being Insurance coverage Program for the U.S. Facilities for Medicare and Medicaid Providers. Mayhew, who completed third in this yr’s four-person Republican gubernatorial main, was the face of LePage’s campaign towards Medicaid enlargement underneath the Reasonably priced Care Act, which was accepted by voters in 2017 however has languished unimplemented in a courtroom struggle with a pending enlargement plan and a request for brand spanking new Medicaid work necessities sitting earlier than the company the place Mayhew might be a key official.
— When it comes to private wealth, the governor’s race in Maine this yr is not any contest. Obtainable public data point out that Republican Shawn Moody’s wealth far exceeds that of his three opponents. Actually. Moody and his spouse paid extra in property taxes final yr than the mixed revenue of Democrat Janet Mills and independents Terry Hayes and Alan Caron. As governor, Moody has stated he would prioritize decreasing property taxes, utilizing incentives for communities and faculty methods to regionalize providers and scale back prices.Federal tax knowledge present that the different candidates — Caron, age 67; Mills, age 70; and Hayes, age 60 — are all comparatively well-off in contrast with the remainder of the state, however they’re all nicely above the median age, and none is amongst the IRS’ highest class of earners making $200,00zero or extra a yr.
— The president gained a spherical Monday in his authorized battle with a porn star. A federal decide on Monday dismissed a lawsuit from grownup movie actress Stormy Daniels that claimed President Donald Trump defamed her when he advised she had lied about being threatened to maintain quiet about their relationship. Federal District Decide S. James Otero in Los Angeles additionally ordered Daniels, whose given identify is Stephanie Clifford, to pay the president’s courtroom charges, which Trump’s lawyer referred to as “total victory.” The ruling is just not associated to Daniels’ main case towards Trump and his former lawyer, Michael Cohen.
The Farmer’s Almanac says that the first frost in the city the place I reside often arrives on Oct. three.
So we should always have been prepared. However we weren’t. We by no means are.
The primary fall frost at our house invariably units off a mad, profanity-laced seek for the scrapers we have to extricate our automobiles from their hoary coats so we will get to the place we’ve got to be on time.
The defrosters by no means work quick sufficient and we will by no means keep in mind the place we left the scrapers after utilizing them one final morning the earlier spring, despite the fact that I swear I tucked them safely underneath the seat in anticipation of simply such a frenzy as our neighbors witnessed Monday.
I might blame it on frost elves. However I do know it actually may be traced to my basic sense of discombobulation and unwillingness to let go of the final vestiges of summer time. Right here is your soundtrack. — Robert Lengthy
At the moment’s Daily Brief was written by Michael Shepherd, Alex Acquisto and Robert Lengthy. In the event you’re studying this on the BDN’s web site or have been forwarded it, click on right here to obtain Maine’s main publication on state politics by way of e mail on weekday mornings. Click on right here to subscribe to the BDN.